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2015 was a year in which China's pure electric vehicle logistics industry achieved a leap-forward development. In 2015, the output of pure electric trucks reached 44,497 vehicles, which was several times that of previous years. Last year, 281 models of pure electric logistics vehicles entered the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology. New models, production and sales have broken new historical highs. 
In 2016, China’s new energy auto industry is about to usher in the first year of the “Thirteenth Five-Year Plan†period. The industry has achieved a good start. How to deal with opportunities and challenges has become a concern for every electric vehicle manufacturer. Although there are many thousands of clues, the following points need to be focused, including government policies, market trends, and the production and sales of enterprises, etc. The electric vehicle resource network - "Electric Vehicle Resources" magazine reporter will analyze and interpret for everyone:
(I) Policy-driven influence on the development trend of pure electric logistics vehicles In 2015, the State increased the financial support for pure electric logistics vehicles, and the Ministry of Finance issued the “Circular on the Financial Support Policies for the Promotion and Application of New Energy Vehicles 2016-2020†(hereinafter referred to as “ "Notice""), followed by the "Technical Service Center of Chinagling Motor Vehicles Co., Ltd." issued the "Notice on Launching the Catalogue of Recommended Vehicles for Promotion and Application of New Energy Vehicles for 2016-2020" (hereinafter referred to as "the Catalogue"), pure electric logistics. Cars, a new energy vehicle segment, will usher in historic development opportunities under policy support.
(1) Logistics pure electric car subsidy standard battery capacity by 1800 yuan per kilowatt-hour subsidy <br> <br> shown in accordance with the "notice" Annex 1 "in 2016 to promote the application of new energy vehicles subsidy standards" in Article III, electric The subsidy standards for the promotion and application of special vehicles and trucks such as plug-in hybrids (including incremental programs): subsidies of 1,800 yuan per kilowatt hour for battery capacity, and further refinement of the subsidy standards based on product categories and performance indicators.
Review of Electric Vehicle Resource Network: This policy continues the 2015 policy and the amount of subsidies remains unchanged. According to the policies in recent years, other vehicle models have retreated, and pure electric logistics vehicles are no exception. In 2013, the battery capacity was subsidized by 2,000 yuan per kilowatt-hour, and the total amount of subsidies for each vehicle was no more than 150,000. In 2014, the subsidy fell from 2,000 yuan to 1,900 yuan. In the year when the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" ended, the amount of subsidies for pure electric logistics vehicles fell to 1,800 yuan. If you do not look at this year's subsidies, the amount of subsidies will gradually decrease. In 2016, the amount of subsidy was consistent with that of 2015, but it has been reduced in previous years. This shows that the support of the country in pure electric logistics vehicles is increasing.
(2) The pure electric logistics vehicle enjoys the 5-year or 200,000-kilometer warranty . The third item of the “Notice†is shown in Article 3 of the Circular. To enhance the quality assurance of key parts and components, new energy automobile manufacturers shall provide consumers with energy storage devices such as power batteries. , Drive motor, motor controller quality assurance, including commercial vehicle production companies (including passenger cars, special vehicles, trucks, etc.) should provide no less than 5 years or 200,000 km warranty period. Automobile manufacturers and power battery manufacturers should assume the main responsibility for the recycling of power batteries.
Review of Electric Vehicle Resource Network: In the past few years, the warranty has remained at 180,000 kilometers in five years. Companies have said that they have done their best. The standard warranty is designed to regulate some unfair market competition in market activities. At the same time, for consumers, the standard warranty is the biggest gift to consumers, especially after-sales service such as maintenance and battery replacement.
(3) The cruising range requirement of pure electric logistics vehicles exceeds 80km . According to Appendix 2 of the Notice, the cruising range of pure electric vehicles must reach 80km or more, and the cruising range of plug-in hybrid (including extension) trucks must be more than 50km. The cruising range of the truck must reach 200km.
Review of electric vehicle resources network: According to the development history of China's new energy logistics vehicle, major car manufacturers basically do pure electric, has completely abandoned the plug-in hybrid technology line. In the future, fuel cells will not be used in the field of logistics vehicles. As far as the current situation is concerned, the cruising range of major pure electric logistics vehicles is constantly increasing. The minimum life is 80 to 100 km, and the maximum life is within 220 to 330 km. This stipulation guarantees that the pure electric logistics vehicle will not suffer from the lack of cruising range during the driving process, guarantees smooth progress during the transportation process, and finally opens up the “last mileâ€. In the city's short-distance transport, 80km mileage is enough to complete a single transport mission, and more than enough.
(4) Logistics pure electric vehicles will be moving in the direction of lightweight <br> <br> in accordance with Annex 5 "Directory", a new class of energy transport special vehicles, the total mass of the truck battery power system does not account for vehicle curb mass ratio More than 25% of new energy vehicles and trucks for operations are less than 20%.
The energy consumption of special vehicles and trucks for purely electric vehicles, plug-in hybrid vehicles (including incremental vehicles) must meet the following requirements: 
Note: Only subsidy is provided for the power battery that provides the driving force.
Review of electric vehicle resources network: This will affect the development trend of pure electric logistics vehicles this year, not only affecting the design of pure electric logistics vehicle models, carrying the problem of battery and vehicle ratio, changes in battery power consumption and driving mileage issues, It also affects the condition of the vehicle on the license plate and the qualification of the pure electric logistics vehicle to enter the city. At the same time, the implementation of this policy will also eliminate some of the models, which is undoubtedly a blow to some models. Enterprises should properly adjust the production of such models. And most importantly, it will stimulate the development of pure electric logistics vehicles in the direction of lightweight.
(5) to suspend or ternary materials, lithium power lithium-ion battery <br> <br> recently, electric car network resources learned from relevant departments on electric commercial vehicles, the relevant departments to submit to the Ministry of Industry "on the suspension of the electric commercial vehicles "The letter proposed by the ternary material power lithium-ion battery" holds that: compared with the lithium iron phosphate lithium-ion battery, the ternary material lithium-ion battery has a greater safety risk, while the commercial vehicle (especially commercial bus) crew More often, in the event of an accident, it may have serious consequences. Therefore, it is recommended that the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology shall suspend the use of ternary material lithium-ion batteries in electric commercial vehicles.
At present, in order to reflect the ideas and opinions of power battery companies to government departments, relevant organizations are soliciting opinions and suggestions from related companies: Should the use of triple-material power batteries be suspended on commercial vehicles? If the proposal is adopted, new ones will be given. The energy automotive industry has a huge impact, and the parameters and technologies of the vehicle will likely change. As an important branch of commercial vehicles, pure electric logistics vehicles are included and still under discussion. If this opinion is implemented, it will cause a fatal blow to the pure electric vehicle logistics industry chain (including three-wheel vehicle manufacturers, Sanyuan Battery Factory, and operators).
(6) where liberal policies affect production and marketing pure electric vehicles and promote the use of logistics <br> <br> the past few years, many parts of the country have introduced a new energy electric vehicles to promote logistics solutions, Beijing, Tianjin and other nine provinces Automobile promotion programs have come to an end and promotion plans have mentioned that they will promote pure electric logistics vehicles. In 2016, new policies will be introduced throughout the country, or last year's new energy logistics vehicle policy.
Second, the pure electric car logistics market ushered in the spring <br> <br> the past few years, electric vehicle development is relatively slow logistics. In 2015, the pure electric logistics vehicle ushered in the spring of marketization, not only in terms of volume, but also in the operating mode. In 2016, despite the chaos and rebirth of the pure electric vehicle logistics market, no matter how the policy is mobilized, it will generally move toward the two ends of the market, end-of-line logistics and time-sharing.
(7) Light logistics and home delivery become the largest market for pure electric logistics vehicles
In the urban logistics system, the city's light logistics, represented mainly by e-commerce express delivery and community convenience store distribution, has attracted more and more attention. In addition, with the improvement of people's quality of life, China's cold chain distribution industry has entered a period of rapid development, the demand for high-end models is growing. They have a distinct feature of small batches, multiple frequencies, that is, the characteristics of light logistics. In addition, the domestic delivery market has also been increasingly valued, whether it is the "delivery-to-door" provided by shops to purchase large-scale goods, the EMS of the post office, general cargo, express delivery, and even moving houses are all part of the delivery business.
The biggest characteristic of the light logistics and delivery market is that both are closely related to our lives and the transportation distance is short. Therefore, the demand for delivery vehicles is also different from that of other cities. The pure electric logistics vehicle meets three characteristics of light, compact, flexible, and highly specialized, and is environmentally friendly and comfortable.
It is understood that many pure electric vehicle manufacturers have correspondingly put their vehicles into express delivery, cold chain, and moving industries. Such as Dongfeng, Chongqing Rui Chi, BYD, Lifan, Yangzijiang and other logistics companies have turned their attention to the end of the logistics, and "three links" and other express companies signed a car contract.
(8) The pure electric logistics vehicle entered the time-sharing lease line in 2015. Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, etc. have successively launched time-sharing leasing services. In Beijing, a time-share lease was introduced to promote bus reform. It plans to complete the demonstration of 2000 time-sharing leasing of pure electric vehicles in the national ministries and related units in Beijing. By the end of the year, it plans to complete 6,000 vehicles, including 175 charging outlets. In Shanghai, more companies are encouraged to launch pilot trials of new energy vehicles for time-sharing. Time-share leasing companies can adopt a variety of cooperation models to construct charging piles, rent returning vehicle points, etc. The public can repay them on an hourly or daily basis. Department personnel can take the lead in choosing new energy vehicles to travel. In Shenzhen, 9600 electric vehicle indicators were allocated to car leasing companies and time-sharing leasing companies, respectively. From the New Year's Day onwards, Shenzhen citizens provided time-sharing rental services for electric vehicles.
In response to concerns about charging piles, cruising range, and batteries, many car companies put some vehicles into leasing operations to discourage users' concerns. For example, Dongfeng’s approach to time and space in Ningbo is that some of the logistics vehicles are used for express delivery and some of the logistics vehicles are placed on leases. Yu Jie's pure electric logistics vehicle is also an operating model that uses sales and leasing. In addition, some charging pile companies will also build their own brands in order to operate the piles. They realize that if they want to make piles profitable, they must have car charging. Therefore, a large number of car companies, charging stakes, leasing operators, etc. have invested in new-energy vehicles in different times in the leasing, which also stimulated the growth of new energy vehicle sales and social acceptance.
However, in the face of the increasingly popular pure electric vehicle logistics market, a large number of companies have invested in this market segment. Various regions have also issued relevant policies, but the space for development of the pure electric logistics vehicle market is still very large.
Third, enterprises rush to eat pure electric logistics vehicle market is fierce
It is undeniable that many car companies saw the pure electric logistics vehicle market is very hot, and they have put product flow cars. According to 2015 data, the annual output of pure electric trucks reached 44,497 vehicles, which is several times that of previous years. The increase in output, in addition to policies and market-driven, is inseparable from the driving force of car companies.
(9) Will the seizure of auto companies take place in a single company?
According to the analysis of the production of pure electric logistics vehicles last year, Dongfeng, Chongqing Ruichi, Shaanxi Tongjia, Lifan, Beiqi and other automobile enterprises achieved the highest output. In particular, Dongfeng, Chongqing Ruichi, Shaanxi Tongjia three companies, the total output of pure electric logistics vehicles is about double the output of other car companies.
In addition to output, it is orders. The largest orders last year were 10,000 orders from Dongfeng and Space and 5,000 orders from Yangtze River. The biggest news of this year's spring is the 25,000 pure electric logistics vehicles signed by Dongfeng Yangtze River and Hubei Contemporary.
From this, it can be imagined that the potential of the pure electric logistics vehicle market is huge, and the major car companies are all in the layout. Then, in the next few years, will the pure electric logistics vehicle industry have a single big situation? The editor thinks it will not be until at least 2020. First of all, pure electric logistics vehicles are still in the preliminary stage. Many regions have just been laid out, and the logistics field is huge. There is still much room for development. Second, the base of production and sales of pure electric logistics vehicles is not large, and it cannot be compared with traditional logistics vehicles. In addition, the technical requirements for pure electric logistics vehicles are low, but they still need to increase the technological gold content, especially the key components and technologies need to be improved.
However, the editors also believe that with the development of the industry, the entire industry needs to be re-integrated, and mergers and acquisitions and restructuring will occur, so that some companies will grow. In the end, after 2020 or 2020, at least 20% of current OEMs and OEMs will disappear and be acquired.
(10) The financing lease problem of pure electric logistics vehicles needs to be solved. With the yearly retreat of new energy vehicle subsidies and the high cost of manufacturing R&D, it is no longer possible to rely solely on subsidies to achieve marketization. On the one hand, it needs to increase product development and Manufacturing capacity, on the other hand, also requires innovative business models to enable the normal operation of the industry and gain higher returns, becoming an urgent problem for enterprises. In the entire industry, funding and financing are the most important. For a pure electric logistics vehicle leasing and operating company, only by paying attention to the financing problem will it be able to operate better. However, financial leasing, yieldco, asset securitization, crowdfunding and other methods have different degrees of restriction. The solution to the financing problem of pure electric logistics vehicles essentially depends on a bank with a lot of money.
Summary: In 2016, the pure electric vehicle logistics market is still the focus of investment by major companies, but in the face of policy adjustments, changes in the market, changes in financing methods, in particular (1), (4), (5), (6) The situation described is that, for the pure electric vehicle market, the sudden change in the situation requires an emergency prevention mechanism in advance.
Pure Electric Logistics Vehicle Industry: Top 10 Trends in 2016